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The Government needs to deliver an average of 67,500 new homes a quarter by the end of next year if they have any hope of delivering the one million new homes promised by the end of Parliament.

Last week, the Government revealed it was setting its sights on brownfield building in order to address the UK housing crisis and deliver the one million new homes promised over this Parliament.

However, the analysis of new dwellings data by Stripe Property Group has revealed that in order to do so, they would need to deliver almost 68,000 new homes a quarter, a task they haven’t managed once during their time in power.

LIS Show – MPU

Stripe Property Group analysed new dwellings delivery since the current Government took charge in December 2019 (after the 2019 general election) which shows that, in approximately three years and six months, just 594,805 new homes have been delivered across England.

The best quarterly performance was seen during the final quarter of 2020 when just 51,370 new homes were delivered.

With just a year and a half left for the Government to reach its target (by the next election which is scheduled to be held no later than Jan 2025), a further 405,195 new homes are required to hit the one million threshold by the end of Dec 2024.

This means that, including Q3 of this year, the Government would need to deliver 67,532 new homes over the next six quarters to fulfil their promise – a task that looks extremely unlikely given their historic performance.

Managing Director of Stripe Property Group, James Forrester, commented:

“The Government is notoriously poor at keeping its promises when it comes to housing delivery and time and time again we’ve seen targets set, only for them to fall by the wayside further down the line.

At the same time, local councils are making it harder and harder for housebuilders to comply with the masses of red tape, all of which increases the prices for the end user.

Given the fact that less than 600,000 new homes have been delivered in the last three and a half years or so, we can’t imagine that the target of one million new homes by the end of next year will come to fruition either.

So we can expect to hear more excuses from Rishi Sunak and co come the end of Parliament, as well as more smoke and mirrors around the delivery of new housing, no doubt fudging the figures with new additional dwellings data to make it appear as though they’ve delivered on their word.”

Estimates – new dwellings built previously and number required to reach 1m target
Category Period New dwellings
Previously Dec 2019 to June 2023 (approx 3 years and 6 months) 594,805
Required July 2023 to Dec 2024 (approx 1 year and 6 months) 405,195
New dwellings – permanent dwellings completed
Period Est completed number of dwellings
Dec 2019 est 16,573
2020 Q1 36,510
2020 Q2 16,640
2020 Q3 42,110
2020 Q4 51,370
2021 Q1 44,510
2021 Q2 43,910
2021 Q3 40,940
2021 Q4 45,570
2022 Q1 40,770
2022 Q2 46,190
2022 Q3 40,660
2022 Q4 50,400
2023 Q1 37,350
2023 Q2 est 41,302
Est total 594,805
Required new dwellings
Period Est completed number of dwellings required
2023 Q3 est 67,532
2023 Q4 est 67,532
2024 Q1 est 67,532
2024 Q2 est 67,532
2024 Q3 est 67,532
2024 Q4 est 67,532
Total required 405,195
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    1 Comment

    1. So why are they determined to drive out Private Landlord’s reducing stock.
      How many thousands of additional properties have they lost by their Renters Reform Bill tantamount to Confiscation & loss of Freeholders rights.
      It stopped landlords investing in refurbishing of converting dilapidated rundown properties, or Developing surplus Commercial Offices even vacant Industrial Units which would be a much better use of land than Brown / Green Fields Building.

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