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While home movers remained the most prominent category within residential mortgage lending space over the last year, it’s remortgage and buy-to-let investors that have seen the largest uptick in activity in a cooling market .

Analysis on the latest Bank of England data, released last week, shows that total advances in residential loans to individuals climbed by 2.1% in 2022, hitting £322.5bn and adding further positive growth to the 26.8% annual jump seen the previous year.

At just shy of £99.7bn, home movers continue to be the most influential force in the residential mortgage market, accounting for the largest proportion of loans seen in 2022, although it’s clear that the landscape has started to change following a string of interest rate hikes and higher borrowing costs.

LIS Show – MPU

With the market cooling, so too has the appetite for moving house, with total loans to home movers falling by -16% annually in 2022.

Whilst in contrast, the total value of loans issued to those remortgaging has spiked.

In the last year there has been a 31.3% jump in the value of loans issued to remortgagers, hitting a total of £87bn, the second highest of all sub sectors.

This demonstrates the higher propensity of homeowners opting to sit tight in what has become an increasingly difficult market over the last year.

Interestingly, despite the government’s failing to incentivise UK landlords, the total value of loans issued to buy-to-let investors climbed by 12% over the last year, one of only two sub sectors to see positive movement two years in a row.

Jonathan Samuels, CEO of Octane Capital, the specialist property lending experts responsible for the analysis, commented:

“On the face of it, the residential mortgage sector is yet to show any signs that the current cooling market is anything other than a gradual return to normality following the pandemic market boom.

However, what we certainly are seeing is a shift in the landscape and while home movers still account for the vast majority of residential market activity, growing uncertainty around the wider health of the market has caused this number to decline, with many choosing to stay put and remortgage instead.

Instead it is the buy-to-let space that has, perhaps surprisingly, shown the strongest and most consistent growth in recent years.

It’s clear that with the number of loans issued to home movers on the decline, brokers should be turning their attention to this segment of the market to capitalise on increasing demand.”

Residential loans to individuals: All (Regulated and Non-regulated) – by category and sorted by largest annual change (2021-22)
Category (£ millions) 2017 Change – 2017 to 2018 2018 Change – 2018 to 2019 2019 Change – 2019 to 2020 2020 Change – 2020 to 2021 2021 Change – 2021 to 2022 2022
Remortgage £76,248 12.4% £85,712 -3.6% £82,602 -18.2% £67,609 -1.9% £66,305 31.3% £87,091
Buy to let £35,183 1.6% £35,729 -0.2% £35,673 -10.5% £31,917 15.6% £36,906 12.0% £41,338
First time buyer £54,936 4.4% £57,373 1.2% £58,044 -7.0% £53,979 37.7% £74,346 -0.9% £73,678
Further advance £6,973 3.2% £7,195 24.6% £8,968 -9.8% £8,085 23.2% £9,960 -3.8% £9,577
Home movers £80,822 -0.3% £80,580 1.6% £81,832 -3.4% £79,027 50.1% £118,654 -16.0% £99,658
Other £8,544 4.2% £8,905 2.3% £9,110 -6.8% £8,491 14.9% £9,757 14.3% £11,153
Total value £262,706 4.9% £275,496 0.3% £276,227 -9.8% £249,107 26.8% £315,929 2.1% £322,493
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